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Ukugaya okuqhubekayo kweenzuzo ze-macro kuninzi ngenxa yokusebenza okunamandla kwamaxabiso ensimbi

Ukugaya okuqhubekayo kweenzuzo ze-macro kuninzi ngenxa yokusebenza okunamandla kwamaxabiso ensimbi

Kutsha nje, ngokuphunyezwa kancinci kancinci kwemigaqo-nkqubo encomekayo enkulu, ukuzithemba kwiimarike kuye kwanyuswa ngokusebenzayo, kwaye amaxabiso akhoyo eemveliso zorhwebo ezimnyama aqhubeleka nokunyuka. Ixabiso lendawo ye-iron ore evela kumazwe angaphandle liye lafika kwindawo entsha kwiinyanga ezine ezidlulileyo, ixabiso le-coke liye laphakama imijikelezo emithathu kwixesha elifutshane, kwaye i-scrap steel iyaqhubeka inamandla. Ukuveliswa kweemveliso zetsimbi kwanda kancinci, imfuno kwi-off-season iyancipha ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye ukubonelela kunye nokufunwa kwaqhubeka kubuthathaka. Amaxabiso aqinileyo aluhlaza kunye nepetroli, ukunyuka kwemveliso kuncitshiswe ulindelo kufutshane noMthendeleko waseNtwasahlobo, kwaye amanqanaba asezantsi e-inventri abe zizinto eziphambili ezixhasa amaxabiso entsimbi ekusetyenzisweni kwexesha elikhoyo ngoku.

 

ukungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle

Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuNovemba, ukungeniswa kwe-iron ore kunye nokugxilwa kwayo kwakuyi-1.016 yezigidigidi zeetoni, unyaka-ngonyaka -2.1%, apho ukuthengiswa kwempahla ngoNovemba kwakuyi-98.846 yezigidi zeetoni, inyanga-ngenyanga + 4.1%, kwaye unyaka nonyaka -5.8%. Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kweemveliso zetsimbi kwakuyi-61.948 yezigidi zeetoni, + i-0.4% ngonyaka, eyajika ukusuka ekunciphiseni ukuya ekunyukeni okokuqala kunyaka wonke. Phakathi kwabo, ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle ngoNovemba kwakuyi-5.590 yezigidi zeetoni, + 7.8% ngenyanga-ngenyanga kunye + 28.2% ngonyaka. Ukungeniswa kwemveliso yensimbi eqokelelweyo yayiyi-9.867 yezigidi zeetoni, eyayiyi-25.6% ngonyaka, apho iitoni ezingama-752,000 zazingeniswa ngoNovemba, eyayiyi-2.6% inyanga nenyanga kunye ne-47.2% ngonyaka. . NgoNovemba, ukukhula koqoqosho lwehlabathi kwaqhubeka ukucotha, ishishini lokuvelisa lalinobuvila, kwaye imfuno yeemveliso zentsimbi kunye nentsimbi yaphesheya kwezilwandle yahlala ibuthathaka. Kulindeleke ukuba umthamo welizwe lam lokuthunyelwa kwentsimbi uguquguquke kancinci ngoDisemba, kwaye umthamo wokungenisa elizweni uya kuqhuba kwinqanaba eliphantsi. Kwangaxeshanye, unikezelo lulonke lwentsimbi ekrwada emhlabeni luya kuqhubeka luxengaxenga, kwaye umthamo wokungenisa intsimbi yelizwe lam uya kuguquguquka kancinci.

Imveliso yentsimbi

Ekupheleni kukaNovemba, izibalo eziphambili ze-CISA kwi-avareji yemveliso yemihla ngemihla yentsimbi kunye namashishini ensimbi ayengama-2.0285 ezigidi zeetoni zentsimbi ekrwada, + 1.32% ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo; I-1.8608 yezigidi zeetoni zentsimbi yengulube, + 2.62% ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo; I-2.0656 yezigidi zeetoni zeemveliso zetsimbi, + 4.86% ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo + 2.0%). Ngokoqikelelo lwemveliso yamashishini angundoqo ensimbi kunye nentsimbi, umyinge wesizwe ophumayo imihla ngemihla ekupheleni kukaNovemba wawuyi-2.7344 yezigidi zeetoni zentsimbi ekrwada, + 0.60% ngenyanga-ngenyanga; I-2.3702 yezigidi zeetoni zentsimbi yengulube, + 1.35% ngenyanga-ngenyanga; I-3.6118 yezigidi zeetoni zetsimbi, + 1.62% ngenyanga-ngenyanga.

Iintengiselwano kunye ne-Inventory

Kwiveki ephelileyo (iveki yesibini kaDisemba, ukususela ngoDisemba 5 ukuya kwi-9, okufanayo ngezantsi) ukulungiswa kunye nokulungelelaniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wokuthintela ubhubhane kunokunyusa okuthile kwiimarike, ukuqhuba ukunyuka okuncinci kwimfuno yensimbi ephantsi, kodwa kunzima tshintsha ukuhla kweemarike ngokubanzi, ixesha lonyaka elingekhoyo Iimpawu zisabonakala, kwaye imfuno yentsimbi yesizwe iyaqhubeka ihlala iphantsi. Uluvo oluqikelelwayo kwimarike yentsimbi yexesha elifutshane luye lwafudumala, kwaye umthamo wokurhweba weemveliso zentsimbi kwimarike yendawo usenobuvila. Umyinge weveki yokuthengisa umthamo wemihla ngemihla yeemveliso zetsimbi zokwakha zazingama-629,000 iitoni, + 10.23% inyanga nenyanga kunye ne-19.93% ngonyaka. I-inventri ye-Steel yentlalo kunye ne-inventory yentsimbi yentsimbi inyuke kancinane. Uluhlu olupheleleyo lwentlalo kunye nentsimbi yentsimbi yeentlobo ezintlanu eziphambili zentsimbi zaziyi-8.5704 yezigidi zeetoni kunye ne-4.3098 yezigidi zeetoni, ngokulandelanayo, + 0.58% kunye + 0.29% inyanga nenyanga, kunye -10.98% kunye -7.84% ngonyaka-on- unyaka. Kulindeleke ukuba kule veki, umthamo wokurhweba weemveliso zetsimbi uya kutshintsha kancane.

Amaxabiso amafutha ekrwada

I-Coke, i-avareji yexabiso le-ex-factory ye-coke ye-metallurgical yokuqala kwiveki ephelileyo yayiyi-2748.2 yuan ngetoni, + 3.26% ngenyanga-ngenyanga kunye + ne-2.93% ngonyaka. Kutshanje, umjikelo wesithathu wokunyuka kwexabiso le-coke ufikile. Ngenxa yokunyuka kwangaxeshanye kweendleko zokubhaka amalahle, iingeniso zamashishini okupheka zisencinci ngokwentelekiso. Uluhlu lwe-coke lwezingqusho zentsimbi ezisezantsi ziphantsi. Ukuqwalasela imfuno yokugcina ubusika kunye nokuzaliswa kwakhona, ixabiso leemveliso zetsimbi ezigqithisiweyo liye lanyuka ngokukhawuleza. Ngentsimbi yentsimbi, indawo ye-CIF yexabiso le-62% elithengiswe ngaphandle kwe-ore kwimpelaveki edlulileyo yayiyi-US $ 112.11 ngetoni, + 5.23% inyanga nenyanga, + 7.14% unyaka nonyaka, kunye nexabiso leveki eliphakathi + 7.4% ngenyanga-ngenyanga. Kwiveki ephelileyo, uluhlu lwe-iron ore port kunye nesantya sokusebenza kwesithando somlilo sinyuke kancinci, ngelixa imveliso yentsimbi etyhidiweyo yemihla ngemihla yehla kancinci. Ubonelelo jikelele kunye nemfuno yentsimbi ekrwada yahlala ikhululekile. Kulindeleke ukuba kule veki, amaxabiso e-iron ore aya kuguquguquka kwinqanaba eliphezulu. Kwintsimbi yentsimbi, amaxabiso entsimbi yasekhaya anyuke kancinci kwiveki ephelileyo. Ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lentsimbi ye-scrap ngaphezu kwe-6mm kwiidolophu ze-45 yayiyi-2569.8 yuan ngetoni, eyayiyi-2.20% inyanga nenyanga kunye ne-14.08% ngonyaka. Ngamazwe ngamazwe, amaxabiso ensimbi ye-scrap eYurophu aphakama kakhulu, kunye ne-Rotterdam + 4.67% ngenyanga-ngenyanga kunye neTurkey + 3.78% ngenyanga-ngenyanga. Amaxabiso e-steel scrap ase-US aye + 5.49% ngenyanga-ngenyanga. Ngokuphunyezwa ngokuthe ngcembe kwemigaqo-nkqubo encomekayo ye-macro, ukulungiswa ngokuqhubekayo kwemigaqo-nkqubo yokuthintela ubhubhane kunye nokulawula ubhubhane, kunye nokugcinwa kobusika kwentsimbi ye-scrap kwamanye amashishini, inkxaso ethile iye yaqulunqwa kumaxabiso ensimbi. Kulindeleke ukuba kule veki, amaxabiso esinyithi esilahliweyo aya komelela phakathi koluhlu olumxinwa.

ixabiso lentsimbi

Amaxabiso emarike yentsimbi anyuke kancinci kwiveki ephelileyo. Ngokwezibalo ze-China Iron and Steel Association, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo ngetoni nganye yentsimbi kwiintlobo ezisibhozo eziphambili zentsimbi yi-4332 yuan, + 0.83% inyanga nenyanga kunye ne-17.52% ngonyaka. Ngokombono weemveliso zetsimbi, ngaphandle kwemibhobho engenamthungo, eyayiyi-0.4% ngenyanga-ngenyanga, ezinye iintlobo ezinkulu zonke zinyuka kancane, ngaphakathi kwe-2%.

Kwiveki ephelileyo, imarike yensimbi ngokuqhelekileyo iqhubekile nokubonelelwa okubuthathaka kunye neemfuno zeemeko zeveki edlulileyo. Izinga lokusebenza kweziqhumiso eziqhumayo landa kancane, umyinge wemihla ngemihla yentsimbi etyhidiweyo yehla kancane, kwaye ukuveliswa kweemveliso zetsimbi kwanda kancinci. Kwicala lemfuno, phantsi konyuso oluncomekayo lwangaphandle, umsebenzi wemfuno eqikelelwayo yeemarike unyuke kakhulu, ngelixa ukusetyenziswa kwendawo yeemveliso zentsimbi kuhlala kudodobala njengoko ubusika busiya busiba nzulu. Ixhaswa yimiba efana namaxabiso aqinileyo akrwada kunye namaxabiso epetroli, amanqanaba aphantsi oluhlu lwempahla, kunye nokwanda kolindelo lokuthotywa kwemveliso kufutshane noMnyhadala waseNtwasahlobo, ukuhla okubukhali kwamaxabiso entsimbi akunamdla. Kulindeleke ukuba amaxabiso entsimbi aqhubeke eguquguquka kule veki. (Ruixiang Steel Research Institute)

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Ixesha lokuposa: Dec-13-2022