I-Brussels-based World Steel Association (i-Worldsteel) ikhuphe imbono yayo ye-short-range ye-2021 kunye ne-2022. I-Worldsteel forecasts imfuno yentsimbi iya kukhula nge-5.8 ekhulwini ngo-2021 ukufikelela phantse kwi-1.88 yeebhiliyoni zee-metric tons.
Imveliso yensimbi yehla ngeepesenti ze-0.2 ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, imfuno yensimbi iya kufumana ukukhula okongezelelweyo kweepesenti ze-2.7 ukufikelela phantse kwi-1.925 yeetoni zee-metric.
Uqikelelo lwangoku, iWorldsteel ithi, ithatha "amaza esibini okanye esithathu osulelo lwe- [COVID-19] luya kuzinza kwikota yesibini kwaye inkqubela phambili ezinzileyo kugonyo iya kwenziwa, ivumela ukubuyela kancinci kwimeko yesiqhelo kumazwe amakhulu asebenzisa intsimbi. .”
"Ngaphandle kwefuthe elibi lobhubhane kubomi kunye neendlela zokuphila, ishishini lentsimbi lehlabathi libe nethamsanqa ngokwaneleyo lokuphelisa u-2020 ngokuncipha okuncinci kwimfuno yentsimbi," utshilo uSaeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, usihlalo weKomiti yezoQoqosho yeWorldsteel.
Ikomiti ithi kusekho “ukungaqiniseki okubonakalayo kulo lonke u-2021,” isithi ukuvela kwentsholongwane kunye nenkqubela phambili yogonyo, ukurhoxiswa kwemigaqo-nkqubo exhasayo yezemali neyezemali, i-geopolitics kunye nokungavisisani kwezorhwebo konke kunokuchaphazela ukuchacha okuchazwe kuqikelelo lwayo.
Kumazwe ahambele phambili kwezoqoqosho, “Emva kokuwohloka ngokukhululekileyo kwemisebenzi yezoqoqosho kwikota yesibini ka-2020, ishishini ngokubanzi liye lakhula ngokukhawuleza kwikota yesithathu, ubukhulu becala ngenxa yemilinganiselo emikhulu yemali yokuvuselela nokunyuka kwemfuno engekapheli,” ibhala iWorldsteel.
Umbutho uqaphela, nangona kunjalo, ukuba amanqanaba omsebenzi ahlala engaphantsi kwinqanaba le-pre-bhubhane ekupheleni kuka-2020. Ngenxa yoko, imfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi ephuhlisiweyo irekhode ukuhla kweepesenti ze-12.7 ngo-2020.
I-Predicts Worldsteel, "Siza kubona ukuchacha okukhulu ngo-2021 kunye no-2022, ngokukhula kwe-8.2 yeepesenti kunye ne-4.2 yeepesenti ngokulandelelanayo. Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022 isaza kusilela kumanqanaba ka-2019. "
Ngaphandle kwamanqanaba aphezulu osulelo, uqoqosho lwase-United States lukwazile ukubuyela ngamandla ukusuka kumaza ombulelo wokuqala ngokuyinxenye ukuya kuvuselelo lwemali oluxhasa ukusetyenziswa. Oku kuncede ukwenziwa kweempahla ezomeleleyo, kodwa iyonke imfuno yentsimbi yase-US yehle ngeepesenti ezili-18 ngo-2020.
Ulawulo lwe-Biden lubhengeze isindululo semali esizibhiliyoni ezi-2 zeerandi esiqulathe amalungiselelo otyalo-mali lweziseko ezingundoqo kwisithuba seminyaka emininzi. Isicwangciso siya kuba phantsi kweengxoxo kwiCongress.
Phantse nasiphi na isicwangciso esisiphumo siya kuba namandla aphezulu kwimfuno yentsimbi. Nangona kunjalo, ngaphandle koku kunye nenkqubela phambili ekhawulezayo kugonyo, ukubuyiswa kwemfuno yentsimbi kuya kuthintelwa kwixesha elifutshane ngokubuyela okubuthathaka kumacandelo okwakhiwa okungeyondawo yokuhlala kunye namandla. Icandelo leemoto kulindeleke ukuba lihlaziyeke ngamandla.
KwiManyano yaseYurophu, amacandelo asebenzisa intsimbi abandezeleke kanobom kumanyathelo okuqala okuvala ngo-2020 kodwa afumana ukomelela okunamandla kunoko bekulindelwe kwimisetyenzana yokuvelisa ngenxa yamanyathelo karhulumente axhasayo kunye nemfuno yepent-up, itsho iWorldsteel.
Ngokuhambelanayo, imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2020 kumazwe angama-27 e-EU kunye ne-United Kingdom yaphela nge-contracting ye-11.4 yepesenti engcono kunokuba bekulindelwe.
"Ukubuyiswa kwe-2021 kunye ne-2022 kulindeleke ukuba ibe nempilo, iqhutywe kukubuyisela kuwo onke amacandelo asebenzisa isinyithi, ngokukodwa icandelo leemoto kunye namanyathelo okwakhiwa koluntu," kusho i-Worldsteel. Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, amandla okubuyisela i-EU akhange apheliswe luqhushululu oluqhubekayo lwe-COVID-19, kodwa imeko yezempilo yelizwekazi “ihlala ibuthathaka,” wongeza umbutho.
Isithando sombane esingenisa i-arc esineziko lombane (EAF) esisindwa yiTurkey "yasiva ubunzima ngo-2019 ngenxa yengxaki yemali ka-2018, [kodwa] yagcina amandla okubuyisela aqale ngasekupheleni kuka-2019 ngenxa yemisebenzi yokwakha," utshilo uWorldsteel. Isantya sokubuyisela apho siya kuqhubeka, kwaye imfuno yensimbi ilindeleke ukuba ibuyele kwinqanaba le-precurrency crisis kwi-2022, ithi iqela.
Uqoqosho loMzantsi Korea, elinye ilizwe elingenisa izinto ngaphandle elizweni, luphunyukile ekwehleni okukhulu kwemveliso yasekhaya ngenxa yolawulo olungcono lobhubhane, kwaye lwabona ukukhula okuhle kutyalo-mali kunye nolwakhiwo.
Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yentsimbi ifunyenwe ngepesenti ezisi-8 ngo-2020 ngenxa yokuxinana kumacandelo ezithuthi kunye nokwakhiwa kweenqanawa. Ngo-2021-22, la macandelo mabini aya kukhokelela ekubuyiseni kwakhona, okuya kuxhaswa ngakumbi ngamandla aqhubekayo kutyalo-mali lwamaziko kunye neenkqubo zeziseko ezingundoqo zikarhulumente. Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022 akulindelekanga ukuba ibuyele kwinqanaba langaphambi kobhubhane.
I-Indiya ibandezeleke kakhulu kwixesha elongeziweyo lokuvalwa kakhulu, okuthe kwamisa uninzi lwemisebenzi yoshishino nolwakhiwo. Nangona kunjalo, uqoqosho luluhle ngamandla ukusukela ngo-Agasti, (ubukhali kakhulu kunoko bekulindelekile, itsho iWorldsteel), ngokuphinda kuqaliswe iiprojekthi zikarhulumente kunye nemfuno yosetyenziso engekapheli.
Imfuno yentsimbi yaseIndiya yehle ngeepesenti ezili-13.7 ngo-2020 kodwa kulindeleke ukuba iphinde ibuyele nge-19.8 yeepesenti ukudlula inqanaba lika-2019 ngo-2021, mhlawumbi ibonelela ngeendaba ezimnandi kubathengisi be-ferrous scrap. I-ajenda karhulumente ejolise ekukhuleni iya kuqhuba imfuno yentsimbi yase-India phezulu, ngelixa utyalo-mali lwabucala luza kuthatha ixesha elide ukuchacha.
Uqoqosho lwaseJapan nalo lwathwaxwa sisibetho esibi ngubhubhane ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwemisebenzi yezoqoqosho ngokubanzi kunye nokuzithemba okubuthathaka okongezelele kwisiphumo sokunyuswa kwerhafu ngo-Okthobha ka-2019. Ngokuwa okucacileyo ngokukodwa kwimveliso ye-auto, imfuno yentsimbi yehla nge-16.8 ekhulwini ngo-2020. Ukubuyiselwa kwimfuno yentsimbi yaseJapan kuya kuba ncinane, kuqhutywe yi-rebound yecandelo leemoto kunye nokubuyisela ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kunye noomatshini bemizi-mveliso ngenxa yokubuyisela kwihlabathi jikelele kwinkcitho eyinkunzi. , ngokutsho kweWorldsteel.
Kummandla we-Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), ukuphazamiseka kwiiprojekthi zokwakha kubethe imarike yentsimbi ekhula ngokukhawuleza, kunye nemfuno yentsimbi efunyenwe nge-11.9 ekhulwini ngo-2020.
IMalaysia (ethumela ngaphandle izixa ezibalulekileyo zenkunkuma evela e-US) kunye neePhilippines zezona zichaphazeleke kanobom, ngelixa iVietnam kunye ne-Indonesia zibone ukwehla okuncinci kwimfuno yentsimbi. Ukubuyisela kwakhona kuya kuqhutywa kukuqaliswa ngokuthe ngcembe kwemisebenzi yokwakha kunye nokhenketho, oluya kukhawulezisa ngo-2022.
E-China, icandelo lokwakha liye lachacha ngokukhawuleza ukusuka ku-Epreli wama-2020 ukuya phambili, lixhaswa lutyalo-mali lweziseko ezingundoqo. Ngowama-2021 ukuya phambili, ukukhula kotyalo-mali lwezindlu nezindlu kungancipha ngokwesikhokelo sikarhulumente sokucothisa ukukhula kweli candelo.
Utyalo-mali kwiiprojekthi zeziseko ezingundoqo ngo-2020 lunike ingxelo yokukhula okupholileyo nge-0.9 ekhulwini. Nangona kunjalo, njengoko urhulumente waseTshayina sele eqalisile inani leeprojekthi ezintsha zokuxhasa uqoqosho, ukukhula kotyalo-mali lweziseko ezingundoqo kulindeleke ukuba kuthathe ngo-2021 kwaye kuqhubeke nokuchaphazela imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022.
Kwicandelo lemveliso, imveliso yeemoto iye yachacha ngamandla ukususela ngoMeyi ka-2020. Kuyo yonke i-2020, imveliso ye-auto yehle ngepesenti ye-1.4 kuphela. Amanye amacandelo emveliso abonakalise ukukhula ngenxa yemfuno emandla yokuthumela ngaphandle.
Lilonke e-China, ukubonakala kokusetyenziswa kwentsimbi kunyuke nge-9.1 ekhulwini ngo-2020. Ngo-2021, kulindeleke ukuba amanyathelo okuvuselelayo athe aziswa ngo-2020 ubukhulu becala aya kuhlala ekhona ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukukhula okufanelekileyo koqoqosho. Ngenxa yoko, amacandelo amaninzi asebenzisa intsimbi aya kubonisa imodareyithaI-Brussels-based World Steel Association (i-Worldsteel) ikhuphe imbono yayo yoluhlu olufutshane lwe-2021 kunye ne-2022. I-Worldsteel forecasts imfuno yentsimbi iya kukhula nge-5.8 ekhulwini ngo-2021 ukufikelela phantse kwi-1.88 yeebhiliyoni zeemitha zemitha. iitoni.
Imveliso yensimbi yehla ngeepesenti ze-0.2 ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, imfuno yensimbi iya kufumana ukukhula okongezelelweyo kweepesenti ze-2.7 ukufikelela phantse kwi-1.925 yeetoni zee-metric.
Uqikelelo lwangoku, iWorldsteel ithi, ithatha "amaza esibini okanye esithathu osulelo lwe- [COVID-19] luya kuzinza kwikota yesibini kwaye inkqubela phambili ezinzileyo kugonyo iya kwenziwa, ivumela ukubuyela kancinci kwimeko yesiqhelo kumazwe amakhulu asebenzisa intsimbi. .”
"Ngaphandle kwefuthe elibi lobhubhane kubomi kunye neendlela zokuphila, ishishini lentsimbi lehlabathi libe nethamsanqa ngokwaneleyo lokuphelisa u-2020 ngokuncipha okuncinci kwimfuno yentsimbi," utshilo uSaeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, usihlalo weKomiti yezoQoqosho yeWorldsteel.
Ikomiti ithi kusekho “ukungaqiniseki okubonakalayo kulo lonke u-2021,” isithi ukuvela kwentsholongwane kunye nenkqubela phambili yogonyo, ukurhoxiswa kwemigaqo-nkqubo exhasayo yezemali neyezemali, i-geopolitics kunye nokungavisisani kwezorhwebo konke kunokuchaphazela ukuchacha okuchazwe kuqikelelo lwayo.
Kumazwe ahambele phambili kwezoqoqosho, “Emva kokuwohloka ngokukhululekileyo kwemisebenzi yezoqoqosho kwikota yesibini ka-2020, ishishini ngokubanzi liye lakhula ngokukhawuleza kwikota yesithathu, ubukhulu becala ngenxa yemilinganiselo emikhulu yemali yokuvuselela nokunyuka kwemfuno engekapheli,” ibhala iWorldsteel.
Umbutho uqaphela, nangona kunjalo, ukuba amanqanaba omsebenzi ahlala engaphantsi kwinqanaba le-pre-bhubhane ekupheleni kuka-2020. Ngenxa yoko, imfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi ephuhlisiweyo irekhode ukuhla kweepesenti ze-12.7 ngo-2020.
I-Predicts Worldsteel, "Siza kubona ukuchacha okukhulu ngo-2021 kunye no-2022, ngokukhula kwe-8.2 yeepesenti kunye ne-4.2 yeepesenti ngokulandelelanayo. Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022 isaza kusilela kumanqanaba ka-2019. "
urhulumente uqalise inani leeprojekthi ezintsha zokuxhasa uqoqosho, ukukhula kotyalo-mali lweziseko ezingundoqo kulindeleke ukuba kuqalise ngowama-2021 kwaye kuqhubeke nokuchaphazela imfuno yentsimbi ngowama-2022.
Kwicandelo lemveliso, imveliso yeemoto iye yachacha ngamandla ukususela ngoMeyi ka-2020. Kuyo yonke i-2020, imveliso ye-auto yehle ngepesenti ye-1.4 kuphela. Amanye amacandelo emveliso abonakalise ukukhula ngenxa yemfuno emandla yokuthumela ngaphandle.
Lilonke e-China, ukubonakala kokusetyenziswa kwentsimbi kunyuke nge-9.1 ekhulwini ngo-2020. Ngo-2021, kulindeleke ukuba amanyathelo okuvuselelayo athe aziswa ngo-2020 ubukhulu becala aya kuhlala ekhona ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukukhula okufanelekileyo koqoqosho. Ngenxa yoko, amacandelo amaninzi asebenzisa intsimbi aya kubonisa ukukhula okuphakathi kwaye imfuno yentsimbi yaseChina kulindeleke ukuba ikhule ngepesenti ezi-3 ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukukhula kweemfuno zensimbi "kuya kuncipha ukuya kwipesenti njengoko umphumo we-2020 uyancipha, kwaye urhulumente igxininisa kuhlumo oluzinzileyo,” ngokutsho kweWorldsteel.
ukukhula kunye nemfuno yentsimbi yaseTshayina kulindeleke ukuba ikhule ngeepesenti ezi-3 ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukukhula kweemfuno zensimbi kuya "kuhla ukuya kwipesenti njengoko umphumo we-2020 uyancipha, kwaye urhulumente ugxininise ekukhuleni okuzinzileyo," ngokutsho kweWorldsteel.
Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-28-2021