Inzala ye-Fed inyuka kwaye inciphise itafile iyichaphazela njani imarike yentsimbi?

iziganeko ezibalulekileyo

Ngomhla wesi-5 kuCanzibe, iFederal Reserve yabhengeza ukunyuka kwamanani nge-50 basis points, elona nani likhulu lokunyuka kwamanani ukusukela ngo-2000. Kwangaxeshanye, yabhengeza izicwangciso zokunciphisa ibhalansi yayo ye-$8.9 trillion, eyaqala ngomhla woku-1 kuJuni ngesantya senyanga se-$47.5 billion, yaza yanyusa kancinci umda ukuya kwi-$95 billion ngenyanga kwiinyanga ezintathu.

Ruixiang Reviews

I-Fed ingene ngokusesikweni kumjikelo wokunyuka kwenzala ngoMatshi, inyusa amazinga enzala ngamanqaku angama-25 okokuqala. Ukunyuka kwenqanaba lama-50 basis points ngeli xesha bekulindelekile. Kwangaxeshanye, yaqala ukunciphisa ibhalansi yayo kancinci kancinci ngoJuni, ngamandla aphakathi. Ngokuphathelele indlela yokunyuka kwenqanaba lenzala ekwinqanaba lokugqibela exhalabisa kakhulu, uPowell uthe amalungu ekomiti ngokubanzi akholelwa ukuba umba wokunyuka kwenqanaba lenzala ngamanqaku angama-50 basis kufuneka uxoxwe kwiintlanganiso ezimbalwa ezizayo, ekhanyela ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba ukunyuka kwenqanaba lenzala kwixesha elizayo ngamanqaku angama-75 basis.

Idatha yokuqala eqikelelweyo ekhutshwe liSebe lezoRhwebo lase-US ngo-Epreli 28 ibonise ukuba imveliso yasekhaya yokwenyani yase-US kwikota yokuqala ka-2022 yehle nge-1.4% ngonyaka, ukwehla kokuqala koqoqosho lwase-US ukusukela kwikota yesibini ka-2020. Ubuthathaka buza kuchaphazela imisebenzi yomgaqo-nkqubo we-Fed. UPowell uthe kwingqungquthela yabezindaba emva kwentlanganiso ukuba imizi kunye namashishini ase-US akwimeko entle yezemali, imakethi yabasebenzi inamandla, kwaye uqoqosho kulindeleke ukuba lufikelele "kwindawo ethambileyo." I-Fed ayikhathazeki ngoqoqosho lwexesha elifutshane kwaye isaxhalabile ngemingcipheko yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.

I-CPI yase-US ngoMatshi inyuke nge-8.5% ngonyaka, ukunyuka kweepesenti ezingama-0.6 ukusuka kuFebruwari. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kusephezulu, okubonisa ukungalingani kokubonelela kunye nemfuno okunxulumene ne-coronavirus, amaxabiso aphezulu amandla kunye noxinzelelo olubanzi lwamaxabiso, iKomiti yeMarike evulekileyo yeFederal, umbutho owenza imigaqo-nkqubo yeFed, itshilo kwingxelo. Ingxabano phakathi kweRussia neUkraine kunye neziganeko ezinxulumene nayo zibeka uxinzelelo olongezelelweyo kukunyuka kwamaxabiso, kwaye iKomiti ixhalabile kakhulu malunga nemingcipheko yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.

Ukususela ngoMatshi, ingxaki yaseUkraine ilawule imarike yentsimbi yaphesheya. Ngenxa yokunqongophala kobonelelo olubangelwe yingxaki, amaxabiso emarike yentsimbi yaphesheya anyuke kakhulu. Phakathi kwawo, ixabiso lemarike yaseYurophu lifikelele kwinqanaba eliphezulu ukususela kubhubhane, imarike yaseMntla Melika iguqukele ekubeni yehle iye ekunyukeni, kunye neekowuteshini zokuthumela ngaphandle zaseIndiya kwimarike yaseAsia. Ukwanda okukhulu, kodwa ngokubuya kobonelelo kunye nokuncitshiswa kwemfuno ngamaxabiso aphezulu, kukho iimpawu zokulungiswa kwamaxabiso emarike yaphesheya ngaphambi koMeyi Day, kwaye iikowuteshini zokuthumela ngaphandle zelizwe lam nazo ziye zehla.

Ukuze kuncitshiswe ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, iBhanki eGcinileyo yaseIndiya yabhengeza ngoMeyi 4 ukuba iza kunyusa izinga lenzala njengezinga lenzala eliqikelelweyo ngama-40 basis points ukuya kwi-4.4%; I-Australia yaqala ukunyusa izinga lenzala okokuqala ukusukela ngo-2010 ngoMeyi 3, inyusa izinga lenzala eliqikelelweyo ngama-25 basis points ukuya kwi-0.35%. . Ukunyuka kwenqanaba lenzala kunye nokunciphisa ibhalansi ye-Fed ngeli xesha konke kulindeleke. Iimpahla, amazinga okutshintshiselana kunye neemarike zemali sele zibonakalise oku kwinqanaba lokuqala, kwaye iingozi zemarike zikhutshwe ngaphambi kwexesha elicwangcisiweyo. UPowell wakhanyela ukunyuka kwexabiso kube kanye kwama-75 basis points kwixesha elizayo, nto leyo eyasusa neenkxalabo zemarike. Ixesha lokulindela ukunyuka kwexabiso eliphezulu lisenokuphela. Kwicala lasekhaya, intlanganiso ekhethekileyo yebhanki ephakathi ngo-Epreli 29 yathi izixhobo ezahlukeneyo zomgaqo-nkqubo wemali kufuneka zisetyenziswe ukugcina ulwelo olufanelekileyo nolwaneleyo, kunye nokukhokela amaziko emali ukuba ahlangabezane ngcono neemfuno zemali zoqoqosho lokwenyani.

Kwimarike yentsimbi yasekhaya, imfuno yentsimbi ibibuthathaka ukusukela ekuqaleni konyaka, kodwa ukusebenza kwexabiso lemarike kunamandla kakhulu, ikakhulu ngenxa yezinto ezininzi ezifana nolindelo oluqinileyo, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphesheya, kunye nokuhanjiswa kwezinto okungalunganga okubangelwe yibhubhane. Emva kokuba ubhubhane ulawulwa ngokufanelekileyo, i-ruixiang Steel Group iza kuqalisa kwakhona umgca wemveliso yentsimbi yekhabhoni emisiwe kwaye iqhubeke nokubonelela ngeemveliso ezisemgangathweni ophezulu kubasebenzisi baphesheya kumazwe angaphezu kwe-100.