I-World Steel Association (Worldsteel) eseBrussels ikhuphe umbono wayo wexesha elifutshane wowama-2021 nowama-2022. I-Worldsteel iqikelela ukuba imfuno yentsimbi iya kukhula nge-5.8 pesenti ngo-2021 ifikelele phantse kwi-1.88 yeebhiliyoni zeetoni zeemetrikhi.
Imveliso yentsimbi yehle nge-0.2 pesenti ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, imfuno yentsimbi iya kuba nokukhula okongezelelekileyo kwe-2.7 pesenti ukuya kufikelela kwiitoni ezimalunga ne-1.925 yeebhiliyoni.
Uqikelelo lwangoku, utsho uWorldsteel, lucinga ukuba “amaza esibini okanye esithathu aqhubekayo osulelo [lwe-COVID-19] aya kuzinza kwikota yesibini kwaye kuya kwenziwa inkqubela phambili eqhubekayo ekugonyeni, nto leyo evumela ukubuyela kancinci kancinci kwisiqhelo kumazwe amakhulu asebenzisa isinyithi.”
“Ngaphandle kwempembelelo embi yobhubhane kubomi nakwindlela yokuphila, ishishini lesinyithi lehlabathi libe nethamsanqa lokuphelisa u-2020 ngokuncipha okuncinci kwemfuno yesinyithi,” utshilo uSaeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, usihlalo weKomiti yezoQoqosho yeHlabathi.
Le komiti ithi kusekho “ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kulo lonke ixesha lika-2021,” isithi ukuvela kwentsholongwane kunye nenkqubela phambili yokugonywa, ukurhoxiswa kwemigaqo-nkqubo yemali exhasayo, ezopolitiko zelizwe kunye noxinzelelo lwezorhwebo konke oku kunokuchaphazela ukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo okuchazwe kwingqikelelo yayo.
Kumazwe aphuhlileyo, “Emva kokuwa okukhulu kwemisebenzi yezoqoqosho kwikota yesibini ka-2020, ishishini ngokubanzi liphinde landa ngokukhawuleza kwikota yesithathu, ikakhulu ngenxa yamanyathelo amakhulu okukhuthaza imali kunye nokukhululwa kwemfuno exineneyo,” ubhala uWorldsteel.
Nangona kunjalo, le nhlangano iphawula ukuba amanqanaba omsebenzi ahlala engaphantsi kwenqanaba langaphambi kobhubhane ekupheleni kuka-2020. Ngenxa yoko, imfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi eliphuhlileyo irekhode ukwehla kwe-12.7 ekhulwini ngo-2020.
UWorldsteel uqikelela ukuba, “Siza kubona ukubuya okukhulu ngo-2021 nango-2022, kunye nokukhula kwe-8.2 pesenti kunye ne-4.2 pesenti, ngokulandelelana. Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022 ayisayi kufikelela kumanqanaba ka-2019.”
Nangona amazinga aphezulu osulelo, uqoqosho lwase-United States lukwazile ukuphinda lubuyele umva kakhulu ukusuka kwi-first wave ngenxa yenkxaso-mali enkulu exhasa ukusetyenziswa. Oku kuncede ukwenziwa kweempahla ezihlala ixesha elide, kodwa imfuno yentsimbi iyonke yase-US yehle nge-18 ekhulwini ngo-2020.
Urhulumente kaBiden ubhengeze isindululo semali se-$2 trillion esiqulathe amalungiselelo otyalo-mali olukhulu kwiziseko zophuhliso kwixesha leminyaka emininzi. Esi sicwangciso siza kuxhomekeka kwingxoxo kwiCongress.
Phantse nasiphi na isicwangciso esiza kuvela siya kuba nethuba elihle lokufumana imfuneko yentsimbi. Nangona kunjalo, nangona oku kunye nenkqubela phambili ekhawulezileyo ekugonyeni, ukubuyiselwa kwemfuno yentsimbi kuya kuthintelwa kwixesha elifutshane kukwehla okubuthathaka kumacandelo okwakha namandla angengawo awezindlu. Icandelo leemoto kulindeleke ukuba libuyele kwimeko yesiqhelo.
KwiManyano yaseYurophu, amacandelo asebenzisa intsimbi ahlupheke kakhulu ngenxa yemilinganiselo yokuqala yokuvalwa kwezindlu ngo-2020 kodwa afumana ukwehla okukhulu kunokuba bekulindelwe kwimisebenzi yokuvelisa emva kokuvalwa kwezindlu ngenxa yeendlela zikarhulumente ezixhasayo kunye nemfuno evaliweyo, utshilo uWorldsteel.
Ngoko ke, imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2020 kumazwe angama-27 e-EU kunye ne-United Kingdom yaphela ngokuncipha okungcono kune-11.4 yeepesenti kunokuba bekulindelwe.
“Ukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo ngo-2021 nango-2022 kulindeleke ukuba kube sempilweni, kuqhutywa kukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kuzo zonke iindawo ezisebenzisa intsimbi, ingakumbi icandelo leemoto kunye neenkqubo zokwakha zikawonke-wonke,” utshilo uWorldsteel. Okwangoku, amandla okubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kwi-EU awakaphazanyiswa kukunyuka okuqhubekayo kwe-COVID-19, kodwa imeko yezempilo yelizwekazi “isasebuthathaka,” wongeza umbutho.
I-Turkey ethwala i-arc furnace (EAF) ethwala izinto ezingafunekiyo “ibe nengxaki enkulu ngo-2019 ngenxa yengxaki yemali ka-2018, [kodwa] igcine inkqubela phambili yokubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo eyaqala ekupheleni kuka-2019 ngenxa yemisebenzi yokwakha,” utshilo uWorldsteel. Inkqubela phambili yokubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo apho iya kuqhubeka, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba imfuno yentsimbi ibuyele kwinqanaba lengxaki yemali engaphambi kokuba iqale ngo-2022, litsho eli qela.
Uqoqosho lwaseMzantsi Korea, elinye ilizwe elithumela izinto ezilahliweyo kwamanye amazwe, luphunyukile ekuncipheni okukhulu kwemveliso iyonke yasekhaya ngenxa yokulawulwa ngcono kobhubhane, kwaye lubone isantya esihle kutyalo-mali lwezakhiwo kunye nolwakhiwo.
Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yentsimbi yehle nge-8 ekhulwini ngo-2020 ngenxa yokuncipha kwecandelo leemoto kunye nelokwakha iinqanawa. Ngo-2021-22, la macandelo mabini aza kukhokela ukubuyiselwa kwimeko yesiqhelo, nto leyo eya kuxhaswa ngakumbi ngamandla aqhubekayo kutyalo-mali lwezakhiwo kunye neenkqubo zikarhulumente zeziseko zophuhliso. Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022 ayilindelwanga ukuba ibuyele kwinqanaba langaphambi kobhubhane.
I-India ihlupheke kakhulu ngenxa yexesha elide lokuvalelwa phantsi okuqatha, nto leyo eye yabangela ukuba uninzi lwemisebenzi yemizi-mveliso neyokwakha ime. Nangona kunjalo, uqoqosho luye lwachacha kakhulu ukusukela ngo-Agasti, (ngokubukhali kakhulu kunokuba bekulindelwe, utsho uWorldsteel), ngokuqalisa kwakhona kweeprojekthi zikarhulumente kunye nemfuno yokusetyenziswa kwemali exineneyo.
Imfuno yentsimbi yaseIndiya yehle nge-13.7 ekhulwini ngo-2020 kodwa kulindeleke ukuba ibuyele kwi-19.8 ekhulwini ukuze idlule kwinqanaba lika-2019 ngo-2021, nto leyo enokwenzeka ukuba inike iindaba ezimnandi kubathumeli-mpahla abathumela izinto ezilahliweyo zentsimbi kwamanye amazwe. I-ajenda karhulumente egxile ekukhuleni iya kunyusa imfuno yentsimbi yaseIndiya, ngelixa utyalo-mali lwabucala luza kuthatha ixesha elide ukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo.
Uqoqosho lwaseJapan nalo luye lwachaphazeleka kakhulu ngubhubhane ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwemisebenzi ebanzi yezoqoqosho kunye nokungaqiniseki okubuthathaka okongeza kwisiphumo sokunyuka kwerhafu yokusetyenziswa ngo-Okthobha 2019. Ngenxa yokuhla okuphawulekayo kwimveliso yeemoto, imfuno yentsimbi yehle nge-16.8 ekhulwini ngo-2020. Ukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kwimfuno yentsimbi yaseJapan kuya kuba phakathi, kuqhutywa kukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kwicandelo leemoto kunye nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kunye noomatshini bemizi-mveliso ngenxa yokubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kwinkcitho yemali kwihlabathi liphela, ngokutsho kweWorldsteel.
Kwingingqi ye-Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), ukuphazamiseka kweprojekthi zokwakha kuchaphazele imarike yentsimbi ekhula ngokukhawuleza, kwaye imfuno yentsimbi yehle nge-11.9 ekhulwini ngo-2020.
IMalaysia (ethumela ngaphandle izixa ezikhulu zezinto ezilahliweyo ezivela eMelika) kunye nePhilippines zezona zichaphazeleke kakhulu, ngelixa iVietnam neIndonesia zibone ukwehla okuncinci kwemfuno yentsimbi. Ukubuyiselwa kwezindlu kuya kuqhutywa kukuqalisa kwakhona kancinci kwemisebenzi yokwakha kunye nokhenketho, okuya kukhawuleziswa ngo-2022.
E-China, icandelo lezokwakha liphumelele ngokukhawuleza ukususela ngo-Epreli 2020 ukuya phambili, lixhaswa lutyalo-mali lweziseko zophuhliso. Ngo-2021 ukuya phambili, ukukhula kotyalo-mali lwezindlu kunokuncipha ngenxa yesikhokelo sikarhulumente sokucothisa ukukhula kwelo candelo.
Utyalo-mali kwiiprojekthi zeziseko zophuhliso ngo-2020 lubike ukukhula okuphantsi kwe-0.9 ekhulwini. Nangona kunjalo, njengoko urhulumente waseTshayina eqalise inani leeprojekthi ezintsha zokuxhasa uqoqosho, ukukhula kotyalo-mali kwiziseko zophuhliso kulindeleke ukuba kukhule ngo-2021 kwaye kuqhubeke nokuchaphazela imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022.
Kwicandelo lemveliso, imveliso yeemoto iye yabuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo ukusukela ngoMeyi 2020. Kuwo wonke unyaka ka-2020, imveliso yeemoto yehle nge-1.4% kuphela. Amanye amacandelo emveliso abonise ukukhula ngenxa yemfuno enamandla yokuthumela ngaphandle.
Ngokubanzi eTshayina, ukusetyenziswa kwentsimbi okubonakalayo kunyuke nge-9.1 ekhulwini ngo-2020. Ngo-2021, kulindeleke ukuba amanyathelo okukhuthaza aqaliswe ngo-2020 aza kuhlala ekho ukuqinisekisa ukukhula okufanelekileyo kuqoqosho. Ngenxa yoko, uninzi lwamacandelo asebenzisa intsimbi aza kubonisa ukuba aphakathi. I-World Steel Association (Worldsteel) eseBrussels ikhuphe umbono wayo wexesha elifutshane ngo-2021 nango-2022. I-Worldsteel iqikelela ukuba imfuno yentsimbi iya kukhula nge-5.8 ekhulwini ngo-2021 ifikelele phantse kwi-1.88 yeebhiliyoni zeetoni zemetric.
Imveliso yentsimbi yehle nge-0.2 pesenti ngo-2020. Ngo-2022, imfuno yentsimbi iya kuba nokukhula okongezelelekileyo kwe-2.7 pesenti ukuya kufikelela kwiitoni ezimalunga ne-1.925 yeebhiliyoni.
Uqikelelo lwangoku, utsho uWorldsteel, lucinga ukuba “amaza esibini okanye esithathu aqhubekayo osulelo [lwe-COVID-19] aya kuzinza kwikota yesibini kwaye kuya kwenziwa inkqubela phambili eqhubekayo ekugonyeni, nto leyo evumela ukubuyela kancinci kancinci kwisiqhelo kumazwe amakhulu asebenzisa isinyithi.”
“Ngaphandle kwempembelelo embi yobhubhane kubomi nakwindlela yokuphila, ishishini lesinyithi lehlabathi libe nethamsanqa lokuphelisa u-2020 ngokuncipha okuncinci kwemfuno yesinyithi,” utshilo uSaeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, usihlalo weKomiti yezoQoqosho yeHlabathi.
Le komiti ithi kusekho “ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kulo lonke ixesha lika-2021,” isithi ukuvela kwentsholongwane kunye nenkqubela phambili yokugonywa, ukurhoxiswa kwemigaqo-nkqubo yemali exhasayo, ezopolitiko zelizwe kunye noxinzelelo lwezorhwebo konke oku kunokuchaphazela ukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo okuchazwe kwingqikelelo yayo.
Kumazwe aphuhlileyo, “Emva kokuwa okukhulu kwemisebenzi yezoqoqosho kwikota yesibini ka-2020, ishishini ngokubanzi liphinde landa ngokukhawuleza kwikota yesithathu, ikakhulu ngenxa yamanyathelo amakhulu okukhuthaza imali kunye nokukhululwa kwemfuno exineneyo,” ubhala uWorldsteel.
Nangona kunjalo, le nhlangano iphawula ukuba amanqanaba omsebenzi ahlala engaphantsi kwenqanaba langaphambi kobhubhane ekupheleni kuka-2020. Ngenxa yoko, imfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi eliphuhlileyo irekhode ukwehla kwe-12.7 ekhulwini ngo-2020.
UWorldsteel uqikelela ukuba, “Siza kubona ukubuya okukhulu ngo-2021 nango-2022, kunye nokukhula kwe-8.2 pesenti kunye ne-4.2 pesenti, ngokulandelelana. Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022 ayisayi kufikelela kumanqanaba ka-2019.”
urhulumente uqalise inani leeprojekthi ezintsha zokuxhasa uqoqosho, ukukhula kotyalo-mali kwiziseko zophuhliso kulindeleke ukuba kukhule ngo-2021 kwaye kuqhubeke nokuchaphazela imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2022.
Kwicandelo lemveliso, imveliso yeemoto iye yabuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo ukusukela ngoMeyi 2020. Kuwo wonke unyaka ka-2020, imveliso yeemoto yehle nge-1.4% kuphela. Amanye amacandelo emveliso abonise ukukhula ngenxa yemfuno enamandla yokuthumela ngaphandle.
Ngokubanzi eTshayina, ukusetyenziswa kwentsimbi okubonakalayo kunyuke nge-9.1 ekhulwini ngo-2020. Ngo-2021, kulindeleke ukuba amanyathelo okukhuthaza aqaliswe ngo-2020 aza kuhlala ekho ukuqinisekisa ukukhula okufanelekileyo kuqoqosho. Ngenxa yoko, uninzi lwamacandelo asebenzisa intsimbi aza kubonisa ukukhula okuphakathi kwaye imfuno yentsimbi yaseTshayina kulindeleke ukuba ikhule nge-3 ekhulwini ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukukhula kwemfuno yentsimbi kuya “kwehla kuye kwipesenti njengoko isiphumo sokukhuthaza ngo-2020 sincipha, kwaye urhulumente ugxile ekukhuleni okuzinzileyo,” ngokutsho kweWorldsteel.
ukukhula kunye nemfuno yentsimbi yaseTshayina kulindeleke ukuba ikhule nge-3 ekhulwini ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukukhula kwemfuno yentsimbi kuya “kwehla kuye kwipesenti njengoko isiphumo sesikhuthazo sika-2020 sincipha, kwaye urhulumente ugxile ekukhuleni okuzinzileyo,” ngokutsho kweWorldsteel.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Septemba-28-2021