IYurophu ibixakekile kutshanje. Baxinezelekile kukwanda kweoyile, igesi yendalo kunye nokutya okulandelayo, kodwa ngoku bajongene nengxaki yentsimbi ezayo.
Intsimbi sisiseko soqoqosho lwanamhlanje. Ukususela kumatshini wokuhlamba iimpahla neemoto ukuya kwiindlela zikaloliwe kunye nezakhiwo ezinde, zonke ziyimveliso yentsimbi. Kunokuthiwa siphila kwihlabathi lentsimbi.
Nangona kunjalo, iBloomberg ilumkisile ukuba intsimbi isenokuba yinto yodidi oluphezulu kungekudala emva kokuba ingxaki yaseUkraine iqalile ukwanda kulo lonke elaseYurophu.
01 Ngaphantsi kobonelelo oluqinileyo, amaxabiso entsimbi acinezele iswitshi "ephindwe kabini"
Kwimeko yemoto eqhelekileyo, intsimbi ithatha i-60% yobunzima bayo bonke, kwaye ixabiso lale ntsimbi linyuke ukusuka kwi-400 euros ngetoni ekuqaleni kuka-2019 ukuya kwi-1,250 euros ngetoni, ngokwedatha ye-worldsteel.
Ngokukodwa, iindleko ze-rebar zaseYurophu zinyuke zaya kwi-€1,140 ngetoni kwiveki ephelileyo, zinyuke nge-150% ukusuka ekupheleni kuka-2019. Okwangoku, ixabiso le-hot rolled coil lifikelele kwinqanaba eliphezulu elimalunga ne-1,400 yee-euro ngetoni, ukunyuka okuphantse kube yi-250% ukusuka ngaphambi kobhubhane.
Esinye sezizathu zokuba amaxabiso entsimbi eYurophu anyuke zizohlwayo ezibekwe kwezinye iintengiso zentsimbi eRashiya, ezibandakanya ama-oligarchs anesabelo esikhulu kushishino lwentsimbi eRashiya, elilizwe lesithathu ngobukhulu emhlabeni elithumela intsimbi kwamanye amazwe kwaye lilizwe lesibhozo eUkraine.
UColin Richardson, umlawuli wentsimbi kwi-arhente ebika amaxabiso i-Argus, uqikelela ukuba iRashiya ne-Ukraine xa zizonke zenza malunga nesithathu seentsimbi ezithunyelwa yi-EU kunye ne-10% yemfuno yamazwe aseYurophu. Kwaye ngokwee-rebar zaseYurophu ezingeniswayo, iRashiya, iBelarus ne-Ukraine zinokubalelwa kwi-60%, kwaye zikwathatha isabelo esikhulu semarike ye-slab (intsimbi enkulu egqityiweyo).
Ukongeza, ingxaki yentsimbi eYurophu kukuba malunga ne-40% yentsimbi eYurophu iveliswa kwii-oven zombane okanye kwii-mill ezincinci zentsimbi, ezisebenzisa umbane omninzi ukuguqula i-iron elahliweyo xa kuthelekiswa ne-iron kunye namalahle ekwenzeni intsimbi. Nyibilikisa kwaye wenze intsimbi entsha. Le ndlela yenza ii-mill ezincinci zentsimbi zibe nobuhlobo nokusingqongileyo, kodwa kwangaxeshanye zizisa ingxaki ebulalayo, oko kukuthi, ukusetyenziswa kwamandla aphezulu.
Ngoku, into eswele kakhulu eYurophu ngamandla.
Ekuqaleni kwale nyanga, amaxabiso ombane aseYurophu adlule kancinci kwi-500 yee-euro nge-megawatt-yure nganye, malunga ne-10 ngaphezu kokuba ayenjalo ngaphambi kwengxaki yase-Ukraine. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane kunyanzele iifektri ezincinci zentsimbi ukuba zivale okanye zinciphise imveliso, zisebenza kuphela ngobuninzi bazo ebusuku xa amaxabiso ombane engabizi kakhulu, into edlalwa ukusuka eSpain ukuya eJamani.
02 Amaxabiso entsimbi anokunyuka ngenxa yoloyiko, nto leyo eyenza ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kube mandundu
Ngoku kukho inkxalabo kushishino yokuba amaxabiso entsimbi anokunyuka kakhulu, mhlawumbi ngamanye ama-40% ukuya kuthi ga kwi-€2,000 ngetoni, ngaphambi kokuba imfuno yehle.
Abaphathi bentsimbi bathi kukho umngcipheko wokuba umbane ungaphinda unyuke ukuba amaxabiso ombane ayaqhubeka nokunyuka, nto leyo enokubangela ukuba iifektri ezincinci zaseYurophu zivalwe, nto leyo enokubangela uloyiko lokuthenga kwaye inyuse amaxabiso entsimbi phezulu.
Kwaye kwibhanki ephakathi, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso entsimbi kunokongeza kukunyuka kwamaxabiso. Kule hlobo, oorhulumente baseYurophu basenokujongana nomngcipheko wokunyuka kwamaxabiso entsimbi kunye nokunqongophala kobonelelo. I-Rebar, esetyenziswa kakhulu ukuqinisa ikhonkrithi, isenokunqongophala kungekudala.
Ngoko ke okwenzekayo ngoku kukuba iYurophu inokufuna ukuvuka ngokukhawuleza. Kaloku, ngokusekelwe kumava adlulileyo, uxinzelelo lwe-supply chain lusasazeka ngokukhawuleza kunokuba bekulindelwe, kwaye impembelelo inkulu kakhulu kunokuba bekulindelwe, kwaye zimbalwa izinto ezinokuba yingozi njengentsimbi kumashishini amaninzi. Kubalulekile, okwangoku kukho kuphela i-carbon steel yaseTshayina kunye nezinye iimveliso, kwaye ukwanda kusekuluhlu olwamkelekileyo.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Epreli-07-2022